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"path": "/products/md/md0383.html",
"publishedAt": "2026-04-11T22:45:03.000Z",
"site": "https://www.spc.noaa.gov",
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"Read more"
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"textContent": "MD 0383 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL KS\n\n\n\n\n Mesoscale Discussion 0383\n NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n 0532 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026\n\n Areas affected...Parts of south-central KS\n\n Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible\n\n Valid 112232Z - 120000Z\n\n Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent\n\n SUMMARY...A threat for severe hail/wind and possibly a tornado may\n spread eastward. The longevity of the threat is uncertain.\n\n DISCUSSION...An HP supercell has recently developed to the\n west-northwest of Wichita, within a region of ascent that may have\n been related to a minor MCV that earlier moved out of the southern\n High Plains. The KICT VWP depicts gradually enlarging low-level\n hodographs, with sufficient deep-layer shear for organized\n convection. Downstream MLCINH is minimal, which may help this\n supercell cluster to persist into early evening, though in the\n absence of stronger synoptic-scale ascent, storm-scale dynamics and\n the influence of cell mergers may determine the longevity of this\n cluster and the attendant severe threat.\n\n While midlevel lapse rates are not particularly steep (as observed\n in the 17Z LMN and 18Z DDC soundings), MLCAPE of around 1500 J/kg\n will support large-hail potential for as long as the supercell\n structure persists. Severe RFD and outflow gusts will also continue\n to be possible. Low-level shear/SRH are also sufficient for some\n tornado threat, though the ongoing HP structure and extensive\n outflow will tend to limit tornado potential to some extent.\n\n Given the isolated nature and uncertain duration of the ongoing\n threat, the need for watch issuance remains uncertain. However, in\n the short term, a localized but potentially substantial severe\n threat may spread across south-central KS, near and north of\n Wichita.\n\n ..Dean/Thompson.. 04/11/2026\n\n ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...\n\n ATTN...WFO...ICT...\n\n LAT...LON 37989805 38129728 38099653 37639645 37559666 37489708\n 37519746 37589785 37989805\n\n MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH\n MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH\n MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN\n\n\n\nRead more",
"title": "SPC MD 383"
}