SPC MD 372

MD 0372 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 98... FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS Mesoscale Discussion 0372 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Thu Apr 09 2026 Areas affected...Portions of northeast Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98... Valid 100142Z - 100345Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98 continues. SUMMARY...The potential for severe winds will likely increase over the next few hours before diminishing later this evening. DISCUSSION...A transition from semi-discrete supercells to convective clusters is evident across northern KS in regional radar imagery. MRMS data shows vertically integrated ice steadily declining while velocity data from KTWS depicts a recent surge in outflow from the leading supercells. Downstream VWP observations show a steady increase in 0-2 km winds over the past hour as the nocturnal jet begins to strengthen. This hints at increasing isentropic ascent along the frontal boundary draped across northeast KS, which will continue to support an uptick in thunderstorm development in the coming hours. While severe hail will remain possible in the short term, a transition to primarily a severe wind threat is anticipated as thunderstorm coverage and cold pool amalgamation increases - especially downstream from the most organized cluster emerging over northern Riley/northwest Pottawatomie counties. This activity will likely spread east/southeastward along and north of the I-70 corridor towards the KS/MO border. East and south of here, drier low-level conditions and more meager buoyancy will likely limit the severe threat heading into the overnight hours and mitigate the need for further watches. ..Moore.. 04/10/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP... LAT...LON 39469738 39589711 39809668 39859648 39879617 39789506 39509498 39289513 38839586 38799617 38819643 39249743 39369749 39469738 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more