SPC MD 371

MD 0371 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 98... FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS Mesoscale Discussion 0371 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0638 PM CDT Thu Apr 09 2026 Areas affected...portions of southwestern and central Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98... Valid 092338Z - 100115Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98 continues. SUMMARY...Ongoing thunderstorms will continue to bring a risk for severe hazards across the southwestern portions of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98 over the next 2-3 hours. Severe wind gusts are the primary threat, with large hail also possible in central Kansas. DISCUSSION...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms have developed along/ahead of a dryline analyzed just west/northwest of Dodge City, Kansas. Latest mesoanalysis depicts surface temperatures in the low-80s F with dewpoints in the upper 40s, which is contributing to a deep, well-mixed boundary layer across the region. High LCLs (~3 km AGL), dry sub-cloud layers with steep low-level lapse rates, and DCAPE exceeding 1000 J/kg will continue to support the potential for severe wind gusts to 55-60 kts, especially with any stronger storm clusters that can become better organized. Steep mid-level lapse rates (8-9 C/km per latest mesoanalysis) and supercell wind profiles (evident in the DDC VAD profiles) will also support a threat for large hail with stronger, more sustained convection. A gradual increase in low-level stabilization owing to nocturnal cooling is then expected to yield a decreasing severe threat after the next 2-3 hours. ..Chalmers.. 04/09/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC... LAT...LON 38389768 37869819 37389869 37059932 36999969 37030033 37450052 37960006 38599948 38919906 39009863 39019841 38999793 38839759 38389768 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more