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  "path": "/products/md/md0367.html",
  "publishedAt": "2026-04-09T18:41:02.000Z",
  "site": "https://www.spc.noaa.gov",
  "tags": [
    "Read more"
  ],
  "textContent": "MD 0367 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTH CENTRAL INTO NORTHEASTERN KANSAS AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEBRASKA\n\n\n\n\n    Mesoscale Discussion 0367\n    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n    0139 PM CDT Thu Apr 09 2026\n\n    Areas affected...north central into northeastern Kansas and adjacent\n    portions of southern Nebraska\n\n    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible\n\n    Valid 091839Z - 092115Z\n\n    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent\n\n    SUMMARY...Intensifying thunderstorm development accompanied by at\n    least increasing risk for large hail appears possible as early as\n    3-5 PM CDT.  Trends are being monitored for a severe weather watch,\n    which probably will be needed at some point, but timing remains a\n    bit uncertain.\n\n    DISCUSSION...To the south of a stalled surface frontal zone near the\n    Kansas/Nebraska border vicinity into northern Missouri, forcing for\n    ascent associated with lower/mid-tropospheric warm advection is\n    maintaining scattered weak elevated or high based thunderstorm\n    development.  However, breaks in cloud cover are allowing for\n    sufficient insolation to contribute to destabilization, in the\n    presence of a still rather modestly moist, but slowly moistening,\n    boundary-layer.\n\n    Beneath a plume of warm elevated mixed-layer air advecting across\n    the high plains, stronger heating and deep boundary-layer mixing is\n    ongoing across western into central Kansas.  Through mid to late\n    afternoon, it appears that a dryline may become better defined in\n    the vicinity of its intersection with the front, near Concordia KS,\n    south-southwestward.\n\n    As this occurs, it appears that strengthening low-level warm\n    advection will become focused near the nose of a persistent 30+ kt\n    southerly 850 mb jet, across and northeast of the surface\n    front/dryline intersection into southern Nebraska between Hastings\n    and Beatrice.  Coinciding with destabilization including\n    mixed-layer/most unstable CAPE increasing to 1000-1500 J/kg, it\n    appears that this will support the initiation of intensifying\n    thunderstorm development.\n\n    Based on latest model output, how far to the cool side side of the\n    surface front/dryline intersection and how soon remain a bit\n    unclear.  However, it appears possible as early as the 20-22Z time\n    frame, in the presence of sufficiently strong deep-layer shear to\n    support supercell structures capable of producing large hail.  For\n    any storm development rooted closer to the surface near the boundary\n    intersection, the potential for strong surface gusts and perhaps a\n    brief tornado or two would be more appreciable.\n\n    ..Kerr/Gleason.. 04/09/2026\n\n    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...\n\n    ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...\n\n    LAT...LON   40339864 40709707 40079587 39529537 38989683 38859917\n                40339864\n\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN\n\n\n\nRead more",
  "title": "SPC MD 367"
}