SPC MD 356

MD 0356 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 95...96... FOR PARTS OF ARKANSAS INTO FAR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA Mesoscale Discussion 0356 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 AM CDT Sat Apr 04 2026 Areas affected...Parts of Arkansas into far southeastern Oklahoma Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 95...96... Valid 040958Z - 041100Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 95, 96 continues. SUMMARY...Strong to locally damaging gusts remain possible. A downstream watch is not expected. DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms tracking eastward along a cold front/large-scale outflow boundary in AR and far southeastern OK has decreased in intensity over the last hour as it moves eastward into weaker surface-based buoyancy and limited large-scale forcing for ascent. Nevertheless, the established cold pool and 40-kt flow in the lowest 1 km AGL (per LZK VWP) will still support strong to locally damaging gusts, given weakly unstable surface-based inflow. Current expectation is for a continued weakening trend with eastward extent, and a downstream watch is not expected. ..Weinman/Guyer.. 04/04/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA... LAT...LON 34699496 34839452 34889371 35109309 35839269 36129224 36349184 36339145 36139131 35679137 35059176 34599231 34219385 34199464 34319496 34699496 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH Read more