SPC MD 310

MD 0310 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 80... FOR NORTHERN OHIO INTO NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA Mesoscale Discussion 0310 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0322 PM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026 Areas affected...northern Ohio into northwestern Pennsylvania Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 80... Valid 312022Z - 312215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 80 continues. SUMMARY...Potential for damaging wind gusts, and perhaps a brief tornado or two, is likely to increase as an evolving cluster of storms overspreads much of the Greater Cleveland area by 5-6 PM EDT. DISCUSSION...An evolving cluster of thunderstorms continues to slowly intensify and organize. Though not yet well-defined, an associated lower/mid-tropospheric cyclonic circulation appears to be evolving, near/east of Toledo, with further intensification still possible, as convection maintains east/southeasterly inflow of unstable air characterized by mixed-layer CAPE up to 1000 J/kg for at least another few hours. Embedded within 40+ kt westerly deep-layer mean flow it appears that the convective system will overspread much of the Greater Cleveland area by 21-22Z, accompanied by potentially damaging wind gusts and perhaps a brief tornado or two. ..Kerr.. 03/31/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE... LAT...LON 41658283 41728168 42048053 41507995 41038131 40938306 41338312 41658283 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH Read more