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  "path": "/products/md/md0088.html",
  "publishedAt": "2026-02-16T01:35:03.000Z",
  "site": "https://www.spc.noaa.gov",
  "tags": [
    "Read more"
  ],
  "textContent": "MD 0088 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA\n\n\n\n\n    Mesoscale Discussion 0088\n    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n    0734 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026\n\n    Areas affected...Parts of north-central Florida\n\n    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely\n\n    Valid 160134Z - 160400Z\n\n    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent\n\n    SUMMARY...A localized risk of strong/damaging gusts and perhaps a\n    brief tornado will continue for the next few hours across parts of\n    north-central Florida.\n\n    DISCUSSION...Clusters of mainly disorganized thunderstorms continue\n    spreading/developing east-southeastward across north-central FL\n    within a zone of low-level confluence and weak positive theta-e\n    advection. Weak pre-convective buoyancy may continue to limit\n    updraft intensity, though a narrow plume of middle/upper 60s\n    dewpoints is contributing to 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE closer to the\n    coast. Despite the weak buoyancy, the TBW 00Z sounding and VWP are\n    sampling strong low/deep-layer shear -- aided by a 40-50-kt\n    southwesterly low-level jet and 60-70-kt midlevel flow. Enhanced\n    low-level hodograph curvature (around 350 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH) may\n    favor transient circulations embedded within the clusters of storms\n    as they continue east-southeastward, and locally damaging gusts\n    and/or a brief tornado cannot be entirely ruled out for the next few\n    hours. Any severe risk is expected to remain too limited for a\n    watch.\n\n    ..Weinman/Hart.. 02/16/2026\n\n    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...\n\n    ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...\n\n    LAT...LON   28938133 28808112 28648106 28378112 28098133 27848171\n                27568217 27478249 27508277 27718289 28008295 28358279\n                28928165 28938133\n\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH\n    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH\n\n\n\nRead more",
  "title": "SPC MD 88"
}