No Clear Exit: Why the Iran Conflict Risks Dragging On for Months

About a week ago, observers could reasonably conclude that Donald Trump might declare victory and withdraw from the conflict. While that scenario still remains possible, growing doubts now surround whether he will ultimately make such a decision. As the fourth week of fighting comes to an end, the likelihood increases that the conflict will stretch on for several months. There is also a significant risk that it will follow a familiar pattern of prolonged escalation, similarly to Russia-led special military operation in Ukraine, drawing in new participants as it evolves. Rising Stakes and Strategic Pressure With the stakes already elevated for the United States and its allies, particular attention focuses on the Strait of Hormuz. A shift in Washington's approach may require a major catalyst, such as substantial military losses similar to those suffered in Beirut in 1983.