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  "path": "/video/ask-ian/china-plays-the-long-game-cuba-faces-mounting-us-pressure",
  "publishedAt": "2026-04-23T19:01:56.000Z",
  "site": "https://www.gzeromedia.com",
  "tags": [
    "Ask ian",
    "China",
    "Cuba",
    "Trump",
    "Iran",
    "Ian bremmer",
    "Us-china relations"
  ],
  "textContent": "\nIn the first edition of “ask ian” Live, **Ian Bremmer** takes questions directly from the GZERO community on two geopolitical flashpoints: China’s strategic patience and the US campaign to squeeze Cuba economically.\n\n* * *\n\nOn China, Ian says Beijing is unlikely to suddenly shift into third gear, saying it prefers “no regret, low risk, long-term moves” rather than risky hard-power plays even as the US stretches itself thin across multiple conflicts. “The US-China relationship in the near term is actually quite stable,” he says.\n\nOn Cuba, Ian says the **Trump administration** may have more leverage than **Obama** did by combining economic pressure with the prospect of future opening. As Ian puts it, the “Cuban government knows that they can’t last that way for years.” His view: Havana could be pushed toward a deal in the coming months, though any progress may be overshadowed by the far bigger geopolitical fallout from the war in Iran.",
  "title": "China plays the long game, Cuba faces mounting US pressure"
}