Estimating is an endless debate

Estimating is an endless debate > Write me your signature with a blue fountain pen on an A2 sheet. How long will it take you if you had to do it in 3 months? How long will it take you to do it right now? The cycle of continuous no-improvement !no-improvement Symptoms vs problem The problem is not the estimates, it's about the unknowns. > Transformation comes more from pursuing profound questions than seeking practical answers. > > The answer to "how" is yes! | Peter Block We do estimation because we desire control and certainty about time, cost and schedule. That much that we ask for estimation about how much time it'll take to do the estimation: the sunk cost fallacy - the tendency to follow through on something that we've already invested heavily in even when giving up is clearly a better idea. On time and on budget Is it a good thing to see progress? Is this a good measure of the results of our decision? @youtube - Estimates or No Estimates? • Woody Zuill • YOW! 2017 | GOTO Conferences --- References - How to succeed at failing? - Why your projects are always late - Story points are pointless - Reality Driven Development - Forecast vs commitment - Why are software development task estimations regularly off by a factor of 2-3? > Agile is not about forecast, it is about being as productive as possible and being resilient > > Allen Holub