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  "description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for June 22, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
  "path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-june-22-2026/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-06-22T15:00:00.000Z",
  "site": "https://edgely.bet",
  "tags": [
    "See full track record →",
    "Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
    "→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
  ],
  "textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Monday, June 22, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **June 21 Results:**\n>  Strike Picks: 4/8 | Ball Picks: 5/9 | In Play Picks: 1/5 (1 fouled)\n>\n> ✅ Ben Rice - Ball / ✅ Christian Yelich - Ball / ✅ Mauricio Dubón - Ball / ❌ James Wood - In Play / ✅ Yandy Díaz - Ball / ✅ Sam Antonacci - Strike / ❌ Kevin McGonigle - In Play / ✅ Luis Arraez - Strike / ❌ Travis Bazzana - In Play / ✅ Jeremy Peña - In Play / ❌ JJ Wetherholt - Strike / ❌ Carter Jensen - Ball / ❌ Pete Crow-Armstrong - Ball / ❌ Spencer Horwitz - Strike / ❌ Jake McCarthy - Strike / ❌ Zach Neto - Ball / ✅ Taylor Ward - Ball / ✅ Shohei Ohtani - Strike / ❌ Anthony Seigler - Ball / ❌ J.P. Crawford - In Play / ✅ Carson Benge - Strike / ❌ Trea Turner - Strike\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n### Winning Slips 💰\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 13-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch Strike Picks\n\n> **MIL @ CIN: Christian Yelich vs Brady Singer — 66.7% (fair odds -200)**\n>  Singer 66.7% zone, Yelich swings 9.1% of the time\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **KC @ TB: Yandy Díaz vs Michael Wacha — 24.6% (fair odds +306)**\n>  Díaz 24.6% in-play projection vs Wacha (91.7 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n> **BAL @ LAA: Zach Neto vs Kyle Bradish — 14.9% (fair odds +572)**\n>  Neto 14.9% in-play projection vs Bradish (94.7 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### NYY @ DET — 6:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Framber Valdez vs Ben Rice**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 18.3%** (fair odds +447)\n\n  * Framber Valdez: Zone 73.3%, Ball 26.7%, 1st pitch Sinker 93.3 mph\n  * Ben Rice: Swing 23.3%, In Play 18.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### KC @ TB — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Drew Rasmussen vs Carter Jensen**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 68.3%** (fair odds -215)\n\n  * Drew Rasmussen: Zone 75.0%, Ball 25.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.9 mph\n  * Carter Jensen: Swing 44.4%, In Play 6.7%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Michael Wacha vs Yandy Díaz**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 24.6%** (fair odds +306)\n\n  * Michael Wacha: Zone 75.0%, Ball 25.0%\n  * Yandy Díaz: Swing 35.7%, In Play 24.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TEX @ MIA — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Kumar Rocker vs Jakob Marsee**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 46.2%** (fair odds +116)\n\n  * Kumar Rocker: Zone 53.8%, Ball 46.2%\n  * Jakob Marsee: Swing 14.3%, In Play 11.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### HOU @ TOR — 7:07 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Dylan Cease vs Jeremy Peña**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 53.3%** (fair odds -114)\n\n  * Dylan Cease: Zone 46.7%, Ball 53.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.7 mph\n  * Jeremy Peña: Swing 39.4%, In Play 11.2%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Hunter Brown vs George Springer**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 69.3%** (fair odds -226)\n\n  * Hunter Brown: Zone 78.8%, Ball 21.2%\n  * George Springer: Swing 34.6%, In Play 9.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIL @ CIN — 7:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Brady Singer vs Christian Yelich**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 66.7%** (fair odds -200)\n\n  * Brady Singer: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch Sinker 92.5 mph\n  * Christian Yelich: Swing 9.1%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CLE @ CWS — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Anthony Kay vs Travis Bazzana**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 19.7%** (fair odds +407)\n\n  * Anthony Kay: Zone 69.2%, Ball 30.8%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.4 mph\n  * Travis Bazzana: Swing 33.3%, In Play 19.7%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Gavin Williams vs Sam Antonacci**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 60.3%** (fair odds -152)\n\n  * Gavin Williams: Zone 63.8%, Ball 36.2%\n  * Sam Antonacci: Swing 16.7%, In Play 3.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### LAD @ MIN — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Zebby Matthews vs Shohei Ohtani**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 66.8%** (fair odds -201)\n\n  * Zebby Matthews: Zone 77.3%, Ball 22.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.9 mph\n  * Shohei Ohtani: Swing 23.6%, In Play 10.5%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Eric Lauer vs Austin Martin**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 57.8%** (fair odds -137)\n\n  * Eric Lauer: Zone 72.0%, Ball 28.0%\n  * Austin Martin: Swing 12.5%, In Play 14.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### ARI @ STL — 7:45 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Andre Pallante vs Ketel Marte**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Andre Pallante: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.1 mph\n  * Ketel Marte: Swing 32.3%, In Play 11.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### BAL @ LAA — 9:38 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Kyle Bradish vs Zach Neto**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 14.9%** (fair odds +572)\n\n  * Kyle Bradish: Zone 71.4%, Ball 28.6%\n  * Zach Neto: Swing 54.0%, In Play 14.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### ATL @ SD — 10:10 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Grant Holmes vs Samad Taylor**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Grant Holmes: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%\n  * Samad Taylor: Swing 100.0%, In Play 4.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
  "title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Monday, June 22, 2026 | MLB Edge",
  "updatedAt": "2026-06-23T15:19:45.296Z"
}