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  "description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for June 21, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
  "path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-june-21-2026/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-06-21T14:45:23.000Z",
  "site": "https://edgely.bet",
  "tags": [
    "See full track record →",
    "Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
    "→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
  ],
  "textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Sunday, June 21, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **June 20 Results:**\n>  Strike Picks: 2/5 | Ball Picks: 1/4 | In Play Picks: 3/9 (1 fouled)\n>\n> ❌ Sam Antonacci - Strike / ❌ Blake Dunn - Strike / ❌ Ben Rice - Ball / ❌ George Springer - Strike / ❌ Yandy Díaz - In Play / ✅ Luis Arraez - Strike / ❌ Jakob Marsee - In Play / ❌ Jackson Chourio - In Play / ✅ Mauricio Dubón - In Play / ✅ Travis Bazzana - In Play / ❌ Jeremy Peña - In Play / ✅ Carson Benge - Strike / ❌ Zach Neto - In Play / ❌ Nick Kurtz - Ball / ✅ Taylor Ward - In Play / ❌ J.P. Crawford - In Play / ❌ Trevor Larnach - Ball / ✅ Ketel Marte - Ball\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n### Winning Slips 💰\n\nMissed playing this one 😭\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch Strike Picks\n\n> **NYM @ PHI: Carson Benge vs Zack Wheeler — 65.5% (fair odds -190)**\n>  Wheeler 70.6% zone, Benge swings 14.3% of the time\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **CWS @ DET: Kevin McGonigle vs Davis Martin — 26.2% (fair odds +282)**\n>  McGonigle 26.2% in-play projection vs Martin (92.7 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n> **CLE @ HOU: Travis Bazzana vs Kai-Wei Teng — 26.8% (fair odds +273)**\n>  Bazzana 26.8% in-play projection vs Teng (91.3 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### MIL @ ATL — 1:35 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Bryce Elder vs Christian Yelich**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 46.5%** (fair odds +115)\n\n  * Bryce Elder: Zone 53.5%, Ball 46.5%, 1st pitch Sinker 91.4 mph\n  * Christian Yelich: Swing 9.5%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Robert Gasser vs Mauricio Dubón**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Robert Gasser: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%\n  * Mauricio Dubón: Swing 44.4%, In Play 18.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CIN @ NYY — 1:35 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Chase Burns vs Ben Rice**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Chase Burns: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%\n  * Ben Rice: Swing 28.0%, In Play 11.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### WSH @ TB — 1:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Nick Martinez vs James Wood**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 19.9%** (fair odds +402)\n\n  * Nick Martinez: Zone 72.5%, Ball 27.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.3 mph\n  * James Wood: Swing 31.7%, In Play 19.9%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Andrew Alvarez vs Yandy Díaz**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Andrew Alvarez: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%\n  * Yandy Díaz: Swing 28.3%, In Play 14.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CWS @ DET — 1:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Keider Montero vs Sam Antonacci**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 64.1%** (fair odds -178)\n\n  * Keider Montero: Zone 68.0%, Ball 32.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.8 mph\n  * Sam Antonacci: Swing 17.2%, In Play 3.9%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Davis Martin vs Kevin McGonigle**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 26.2%** (fair odds +282)\n\n  * Davis Martin: Zone 65.8%, Ball 34.2%\n  * Kevin McGonigle: Swing 34.5%, In Play 26.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SF @ MIA — 1:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Ryan Gusto vs Luis Arraez**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 64.6%** (fair odds -182)\n\n  * Ryan Gusto: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.1 mph\n  * Luis Arraez: Swing 10.5%, In Play 5.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### STL @ KC — 2:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Stephen Kolek vs JJ Wetherholt**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 58.7%** (fair odds -142)\n\n  * Stephen Kolek: Zone 70.4%, Ball 29.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.3 mph\n  * JJ Wetherholt: Swing 30.2%, In Play 11.7%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Dustin May vs Carter Jensen**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 51.4%** (fair odds -106)\n\n  * Dustin May: Zone 48.6%, Ball 51.4%\n  * Carter Jensen: Swing 47.1%, In Play 5.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CLE @ HOU — 2:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Kai-Wei Teng vs Travis Bazzana**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 26.8%** (fair odds +273)\n\n  * Kai-Wei Teng: Zone 60.0%, Ball 40.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.3 mph\n  * Travis Bazzana: Swing 33.3%, In Play 26.8%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Slade Cecconi vs Jeremy Peña**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 14.1%** (fair odds +611)\n\n  * Slade Cecconi: Zone 60.5%, Ball 39.5%\n  * Jeremy Peña: Swing 38.8%, In Play 14.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TOR @ CHC — 2:20 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Shota Imanaga vs George Springer**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 18.2%** (fair odds +451)\n\n  * Shota Imanaga: Zone 56.1%, Ball 43.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.8 mph\n  * George Springer: Swing 28.0%, In Play 18.2%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Dylan Cease vs Pete Crow-Armstrong**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 53.3%** (fair odds -114)\n\n  * Dylan Cease: Zone 46.7%, Ball 53.3%\n  * Pete Crow-Armstrong: Swing 29.6%, In Play 7.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SD @ TEX — 2:35 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Nathan Eovaldi vs Fernando Tatis Jr.**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 22.2%** (fair odds +350)\n\n  * Nathan Eovaldi: Zone 72.2%, Ball 27.8%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.0 mph\n  * Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 37.7%, In Play 22.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### PIT @ COL — 3:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Michael Lorenzen vs Spencer Horwitz**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 64.1%** (fair odds -178)\n\n  * Michael Lorenzen: Zone 65.9%, Ball 34.1%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.1 mph\n  * Spencer Horwitz: Swing 24.0%, In Play 1.8%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### LAA @ OAK — 4:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Jack Perkins vs Zach Neto**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Jack Perkins: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.9 mph\n  * Zach Neto: Swing 53.6%, In Play 11.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### BOS @ SEA — 4:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Logan Gilbert vs Anthony Seigler**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Logan Gilbert: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.1 mph\n  * Anthony Seigler: Swing 100.0%, In Play 5.7%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Payton Tolle vs J.P. Crawford**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 25.3%** (fair odds +296)\n\n  * Payton Tolle: Zone 75.0%, Ball 25.0%\n  * J.P. Crawford: Swing 38.5%, In Play 25.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### BAL @ LAD — 4:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Emmet Sheehan vs Taylor Ward**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 52.0%** (fair odds -108)\n\n  * Emmet Sheehan: Zone 48.0%, Ball 52.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.8 mph\n  * Taylor Ward: Swing 29.4%, In Play 8.3%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Brandon Young vs Shohei Ohtani**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 62.8%** (fair odds -169)\n\n  * Brandon Young: Zone 72.7%, Ball 27.3%\n  * Shohei Ohtani: Swing 23.8%, In Play 9.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### NYM @ PHI — 7:20 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Zack Wheeler vs Carson Benge**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 65.5%** (fair odds -190)\n\n  * Zack Wheeler: Zone 70.6%, Ball 29.4%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 96.3 mph\n  * Carson Benge: Swing 14.3%, In Play 5.1%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): David Peterson vs Trea Turner**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 58.3%** (fair odds -140)\n\n  * David Peterson: Zone 68.2%, Ball 31.8%\n  * Trea Turner: Swing 15.3%, In Play 9.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
  "title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Sunday, June 21, 2026 | MLB Edge",
  "updatedAt": "2026-06-21T14:45:23.647Z"
}