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"description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for June 18, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
"path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-june-18-2026/",
"publishedAt": "2026-06-18T16:00:22.000Z",
"site": "https://edgely.bet",
"tags": [
"See full track record →",
"Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
"→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
],
"textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Thursday, June 18, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **June 17 Results:**\n> Strike Picks: 0/3 | Ball Picks: 1/6 | In Play Picks: 1/9 (3 fouled)\n>\n> ❌ Carter Jensen - In Play / ❌ Liam Hicks - Strike / ❌ Trea Turner - Strike / ❌ Kevin McGonigle - In Play / ❌ Jeremy Peña - In Play / ❌ Yandy Díaz - In Play / ✅ Tommy Edman - Ball / ❌ Chase Meidroth - In Play / ❌ Paul Goldschmidt - In Play / ❌ Luis Arraez - Ball / ❌ Travis Bazzana - Ball / ❌ Christian Yelich - Strike / ✅ Pete Crow-Armstrong - In Play / ❌ Spencer Horwitz - Ball / ❌ Nick Kurtz - In Play / ❌ Taylor Ward - Ball / ❌ J.P. Crawford - In Play / ❌ Luis Arraez - Ball\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n### Winning Slips 💰\n\nP C Effing A!!!\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 9-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch Ball Picks\n\n> **STL @ KC: JJ Wetherholt vs Noah Cameron — 54.1% (fair odds -118)**\n> Cameron 54.1% ball rate, Wetherholt 31.2% swing tendency\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **CWS @ NYY: Chase Meidroth vs Ryan Weathers — 15.5% (fair odds +545)**\n> Meidroth 15.5% in-play projection vs Weathers (93.2 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n> **STL @ KC: Lane Thomas vs Matthew Liberatore — 16.6% (fair odds +503)**\n> Thomas 16.6% in-play projection vs Liberatore (93.4 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### TOR @ BOS — 1:35 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Sonny Gray vs George Springer**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 64.3%** (fair odds -180)\n\n * Sonny Gray: Zone 75.0%, Ball 25.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.3 mph\n * George Springer: Swing 34.6%, In Play 10.7%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Trey Yesavage vs Mickey Gasper**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n * Trey Yesavage: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%\n * Mickey Gasper: Swing 0.0%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CLE @ MIL — 2:10 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Parker Messick vs Jackson Chourio**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 20.1%** (fair odds +398)\n\n * Parker Messick: Zone 61.9%, Ball 38.1%\n * Jackson Chourio: Swing 46.9%, In Play 20.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIN @ TEX — 2:35 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Jack Leiter vs Trevor Larnach**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 13.5%** (fair odds +643)\n\n * Jack Leiter: Zone 54.8%, Ball 45.2%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 96.0 mph\n * Trevor Larnach: Swing 36.4%, In Play 13.5%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Joe Ryan vs Joc Pederson**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 15.6%** (fair odds +543)\n\n * Joe Ryan: Zone 72.7%, Ball 27.3%\n * Joc Pederson: Swing 21.4%, In Play 15.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### NYM @ PHI — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Aaron Nola vs Carson Benge**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 59.5%** (fair odds -147)\n\n * Aaron Nola: Zone 64.5%, Ball 35.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.7 mph\n * Carson Benge: Swing 14.8%, In Play 5.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Sean Manaea vs Kyle Schwarber**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 66.0%** (fair odds -194)\n\n * Sean Manaea: Zone 76.9%, Ball 23.1%\n * Kyle Schwarber: Swing 34.4%, In Play 10.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CWS @ NYY — 7:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Ryan Weathers vs Chase Meidroth**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 15.5%** (fair odds +545)\n\n * Ryan Weathers: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.2 mph\n * Chase Meidroth: Swing 34.8%, In Play 15.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### STL @ KC — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Noah Cameron vs JJ Wetherholt**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 54.1%** (fair odds -118)\n\n * Noah Cameron: Zone 45.9%, Ball 54.1%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.7 mph\n * JJ Wetherholt: Swing 31.2%, In Play 7.1%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Matthew Liberatore vs Lane Thomas**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 16.6%** (fair odds +503)\n\n * Matthew Liberatore: Zone 67.4%, Ball 32.6%\n * Lane Thomas: Swing 42.9%, In Play 16.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
"title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Thursday, June 18, 2026 | MLB Edge",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-18T16:00:22.963Z"
}