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  "description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for June 16, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
  "path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-june-16-2026/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-06-16T14:20:47.000Z",
  "site": "https://edgely.bet",
  "tags": [
    "See full track record →",
    "Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
    "→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
  ],
  "textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Tuesday, June 16, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **June 15 Results:**\n>  Strike Picks: 2/4 | Ball Picks: 2/3 | In Play Picks: 0/8 (3 fouled)\n>\n> ❌ Liam Hicks - Strike / ✅ Kyle Schwarber - Strike / ❌ Lane Thomas - In Play / ❌ James Wood - In Play / ✅ Carson Benge - Ball / ✅ Blake Dunn - Strike / ✅ Fernando Tatis Jr. - Ball / ❌ Austin Martin - In Play / ❌ Kevin McGonigle - In Play / ❌ Zach Neto - In Play / ❌ Ketel Marte - Ball / ❌ Spencer Horwitz - Strike / ❌ Nick Kurtz - In Play / ❌ Yandy Díaz - In Play / ❌ Shohei Ohtani - In Play\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **CWS @ NYY: Ben Rice vs Davis Martin — 21.4% (fair odds +368)**\n>  Rice 21.4% in-play projection vs Martin (92.7 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n> **DET @ HOU: Kevin McGonigle vs Hunter Brown — 20.4% (fair odds +391)**\n>  McGonigle 20.4% in-play projection vs Brown (96.6 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n> **COL @ CHC: Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Ryan Feltner — 15.6% (fair odds +539)**\n>  Crow-Armstrong 15.6% in-play projection vs Feltner (93.3 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups are not all confirmed before publishing. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### MIA @ PHI — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Jesús Luzardo vs Xavier Edwards**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 18.0%** (fair odds +456)\n\n  * Jesús Luzardo: Zone 68.1%, Ball 31.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 96.3 mph\n  * Xavier Edwards: Swing 28.1%, In Play 18.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### KC @ WSH — 6:45 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Foster Griffin vs Lane Thomas**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 62.5%** (fair odds -167)\n\n  * Foster Griffin: Zone 64.3%, Ball 35.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.1 mph\n  * Lane Thomas: Swing 42.9%, In Play 1.8%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Michael Wacha vs James Wood**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 21.3%** (fair odds +370)\n\n  * Michael Wacha: Zone 75.0%, Ball 25.0%\n  * James Wood: Swing 32.5%, In Play 21.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TOR @ BOS — 6:45 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Payton Tolle vs George Springer**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 30.7%** (fair odds +226)\n\n  * Payton Tolle: Zone 75.0%, Ball 25.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.8 mph\n  * George Springer: Swing 29.2%, In Play 30.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CWS @ NYY — 7:05 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Davis Martin vs Ben Rice**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 21.4%** (fair odds +368)\n\n  * Davis Martin: Zone 65.8%, Ball 34.2%\n  * Ben Rice: Swing 25.0%, In Play 21.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### NYM @ CIN — 7:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Brady Singer vs Carson Benge**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 61.6%** (fair odds -160)\n\n  * Brady Singer: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch Sinker 92.5 mph\n  * Carson Benge: Swing 14.8%, In Play 5.1%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Kodai Senga vs Blake Dunn**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 59.3%** (fair odds -146)\n\n  * Kodai Senga: Zone 59.3%, Ball 40.7%\n  * Blake Dunn: Swing 13.3%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SF @ ATL — 7:15 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Grant Holmes vs Luis Arraez**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Grant Holmes: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.6 mph\n  * Luis Arraez: Swing 12.5%, In Play 5.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CLE @ MIL — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Robert Gasser vs Angel Martínez**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Robert Gasser: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch Sinker 91.2 mph\n  * Angel Martínez: Swing 23.1%, In Play 5.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Slade Cecconi vs Christian Yelich**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 60.5%** (fair odds -153)\n\n  * Slade Cecconi: Zone 60.5%, Ball 39.5%\n  * Christian Yelich: Swing 10.0%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SD @ STL — 7:45 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Andre Pallante vs Fernando Tatis Jr.**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Andre Pallante: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.1 mph\n  * Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 36.7%, In Play 12.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### COL @ CHC — 8:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Edward Cabrera vs Edouard Julien**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 59.1%** (fair odds -144)\n\n  * Edward Cabrera: Zone 70.3%, Ball 29.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.3 mph\n  * Edouard Julien: Swing 34.9%, In Play 11.2%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Ryan Feltner vs Pete Crow-Armstrong**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 15.6%** (fair odds +539)\n\n  * Ryan Feltner: Zone 64.3%, Ball 35.7%\n  * Pete Crow-Armstrong: Swing 30.8%, In Play 15.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIN @ TEX — 8:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Kumar Rocker vs Trevor Larnach**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 46.2%** (fair odds +116)\n\n  * Kumar Rocker: Zone 53.8%, Ball 46.2%, 1st pitch Sinker 95.1 mph\n  * Trevor Larnach: Swing 36.4%, In Play 12.3%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Zebby Matthews vs Joc Pederson**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 60.8%** (fair odds -155)\n\n  * Zebby Matthews: Zone 77.3%, Ball 22.7%\n  * Joc Pederson: Swing 21.4%, In Play 16.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### DET @ HOU — 8:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Hunter Brown vs Kevin McGonigle**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 20.4%** (fair odds +391)\n\n  * Hunter Brown: Zone 78.8%, Ball 21.2%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 96.6 mph\n  * Kevin McGonigle: Swing 32.1%, In Play 20.4%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Framber Valdez vs Jeremy Peña**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 26.1%** (fair odds +283)\n\n  * Framber Valdez: Zone 73.3%, Ball 26.7%\n  * Jeremy Peña: Swing 40.7%, In Play 26.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### BAL @ SEA — 9:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Logan Gilbert vs Taylor Ward**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Logan Gilbert: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.1 mph\n  * Taylor Ward: Swing 27.7%, In Play 8.7%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Brandon Young vs Cole Young**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 63.0%** (fair odds -171)\n\n  * Brandon Young: Zone 72.7%, Ball 27.3%\n  * Cole Young: Swing 37.5%, In Play 9.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### PIT @ OAK — 9:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Jack Perkins vs Spencer Horwitz**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Jack Perkins: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.9 mph\n  * Spencer Horwitz: Swing 22.9%, In Play 1.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### LAA @ ARI — 9:40 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Reid Detmers vs Ketel Marte**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 16.2%** (fair odds +516)\n\n  * Reid Detmers: Zone 57.1%, Ball 42.9%\n  * Ketel Marte: Swing 32.6%, In Play 16.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TB @ LAD — 10:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Justin Wrobleski vs Yandy Díaz**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 46.2%** (fair odds +116)\n\n  * Justin Wrobleski: Zone 53.8%, Ball 46.2%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.4 mph\n  * Yandy Díaz: Swing 26.7%, In Play 14.5%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Drew Rasmussen vs Shohei Ohtani**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 64.8%** (fair odds -184)\n\n  * Drew Rasmussen: Zone 75.0%, Ball 25.0%\n  * Shohei Ohtani: Swing 23.8%, In Play 10.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
  "title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | MLB Edge",
  "updatedAt": "2026-06-16T14:20:48.563Z"
}