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  "description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for June 5, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
  "path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-june-5-2026/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-06-05T16:13:39.000Z",
  "site": "https://edgely.bet",
  "tags": [
    "See full track record →",
    "Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
    "→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
  ],
  "textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Friday, June 5, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **June 4 Results:**\n>  Strike Picks: 2/5 | Ball Picks: 0/1 | In Play Picks: 1/3 (0 fouled)\n>\n> ❌ Fernando Tatis Jr. - Strike / ❌ Taylor Ward - Strike / ✅ Christian Yelich - Strike / ❌ Byron Buxton - In Play / ❌ Henry Bolte - Ball / ❌ Spencer Horwitz - Strike / ❌ Jeremy Peña - In Play / ✅ Mookie Betts - Strike / ✅ Ketel Marte - In Play\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n### Winning Slips 💰\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch Ball Picks\n\n> **MIL @ COL: Jake McCarthy vs Brandon Sproat — 61.5% (fair odds -160)**\n>  Sproat 61.5% ball rate, McCarthy 46.7% swing tendency\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **CWS @ PHI: Chase Meidroth vs Jesús Luzardo — 18.6% (fair odds +439)**\n>  Meidroth 18.6% in-play projection vs Luzardo (96.4 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n> **SEA @ DET: Gleyber Torres vs Bryan Woo — 25.7% (fair odds +289)**\n>  Torres 25.7% in-play projection vs Woo (94.9 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups confirmed before publish. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### SF @ CHC — 2:20 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Robbie Ray vs Nico Hoerner**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 14.5%** (fair odds +592)\n\n  * Robbie Ray: Zone 61.4%, Ball 38.6%\n  * Nico Hoerner: Swing 19.4%, In Play 14.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SEA @ DET — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Framber Valdez vs J.P. Crawford**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 22.2%** (fair odds +350)\n\n  * Framber Valdez: Zone 72.1%, Ball 27.9%, 1st pitch Sinker 93.2 mph\n  * J.P. Crawford: Swing 41.7%, In Play 22.2%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Bryan Woo vs Gleyber Torres**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 25.7%** (fair odds +289)\n\n  * Bryan Woo: Zone 64.3%, Ball 35.7%\n  * Gleyber Torres: Swing 31.2%, In Play 25.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CWS @ PHI — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Jesús Luzardo vs Chase Meidroth**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 18.6%** (fair odds +439)\n\n  * Jesús Luzardo: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 96.4 mph\n  * Chase Meidroth: Swing 32.6%, In Play 18.6%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Anthony Kay vs Kyle Schwarber**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 58.9%** (fair odds -143)\n\n  * Anthony Kay: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%\n  * Kyle Schwarber: Swing 31.8%, In Play 11.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### BOS @ NYY — 7:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Ryan Weathers vs Jarren Duran**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 57.8%** (fair odds -137)\n\n  * Ryan Weathers: Zone 68.4%, Ball 31.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.1 mph\n  * Jarren Duran: Swing 20.8%, In Play 10.6%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Sonny Gray vs Trent Grisham**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 70.8%** (fair odds -242)\n\n  * Sonny Gray: Zone 76.2%, Ball 23.8%\n  * Trent Grisham: Swing 17.7%, In Play 5.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### BAL @ TOR — 7:07 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Trey Yesavage vs Taylor Ward**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 49.2%** (fair odds +103)\n\n  * Trey Yesavage: Zone 50.8%, Ball 49.2%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.5 mph\n  * Taylor Ward: Swing 24.3%, In Play 8.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Brandon Young vs Nathan Lukes**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 14.5%** (fair odds +587)\n\n  * Brandon Young: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%\n  * Nathan Lukes: Swing 30.3%, In Play 14.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TB @ MIA — 7:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Ryan Gusto vs Chandler Simpson**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 58.5%** (fair odds -141)\n\n  * Ryan Gusto: Zone 70.6%, Ball 29.4%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.6 mph\n  * Chandler Simpson: Swing 16.9%, In Play 12.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### OAK @ HOU — 8:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Peter Lambert vs Carlos Cortes**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 17.4%** (fair odds +476)\n\n  * Peter Lambert: Zone 100.0%, Ball 0.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.9 mph\n  * Carlos Cortes: Swing 28.6%, In Play 17.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### KC @ MIN — 8:15 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Zebby Matthews vs Carter Jensen**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 62.1%** (fair odds -164)\n\n  * Zebby Matthews: Zone 75.0%, Ball 25.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.0 mph\n  * Carter Jensen: Swing 50.0%, In Play 12.9%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Michael Wacha vs Byron Buxton**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 24.4%** (fair odds +310)\n\n  * Michael Wacha: Zone 73.8%, Ball 26.2%\n  * Byron Buxton: Swing 51.5%, In Play 24.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CIN @ STL — 8:15 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Kyle Leahy vs Blake Dunn**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 58.3%** (fair odds -140)\n\n  * Kyle Leahy: Zone 58.3%, Ball 41.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.5 mph\n  * Blake Dunn: Swing 22.2%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Brady Singer vs JJ Wetherholt**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 59.0%** (fair odds -144)\n\n  * Brady Singer: Zone 67.4%, Ball 32.6%\n  * JJ Wetherholt: Swing 31.1%, In Play 8.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CLE @ TEX — 8:15 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Kumar Rocker vs Travis Bazzana**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 58.3%** (fair odds -140)\n\n  * Kumar Rocker: Zone 58.3%, Ball 41.7%, 1st pitch Sinker 95.1 mph\n  * Travis Bazzana: Swing 10.0%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIL @ COL — 8:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Ryan Feltner vs Christian Yelich**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 58.3%** (fair odds -140)\n\n  * Ryan Feltner: Zone 58.3%, Ball 41.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.0 mph\n  * Christian Yelich: Swing 11.8%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Brandon Sproat vs Jake McCarthy**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 61.5%** (fair odds -160)\n\n  * Brandon Sproat: Zone 38.5%, Ball 61.5%\n  * Jake McCarthy: Swing 46.7%, In Play 1.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### WSH @ ARI — 9:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Merrill Kelly vs James Wood**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 13.5%** (fair odds +643)\n\n  * Merrill Kelly: Zone 56.4%, Ball 43.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.1 mph\n  * James Wood: Swing 34.7%, In Play 13.5%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Foster Griffin vs Ketel Marte**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 17.1%** (fair odds +486)\n\n  * Foster Griffin: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%\n  * Ketel Marte: Swing 32.9%, In Play 17.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### NYM @ SD — 9:40 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Christian Scott vs Fernando Tatis Jr.**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 16.1%** (fair odds +523)\n\n  * Christian Scott: Zone 57.1%, Ball 42.9%\n  * Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 38.3%, In Play 16.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
  "title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Friday, June 5, 2026 | MLB Edge",
  "updatedAt": "2026-06-05T16:13:40.284Z"
}