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  "description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for May 29, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
  "path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-may-29-2026/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-05-29T16:22:42.000Z",
  "site": "https://edgely.bet",
  "tags": [
    "See full track record →",
    "Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
    "→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
  ],
  "textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Friday, May 29, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **May 28 Results:**\n>  Strike Picks: 1/4 | Ball Picks: 0/1 | In Play Picks: 0/3 (0 fouled)\n\n> ❌ Zach Neto - Ball / ❌ Byron Buxton - In Play / ❌ Ronald Acuña Jr. - In Play / ❌ George Springer - Strike / ❌ Taylor Ward - Strike / ✅ Spencer Horwitz - Strike / ❌ Jeremy Peña - In Play / ❌ Joc Pederson - Strike\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch Ball Picks\n\n> **LAA @ TB: Chandler Simpson vs Walbert Ureña — 85.7% (fair odds -599)**\n>  Ureña 85.7% ball rate, Simpson 17.3% swing tendency\n\n> **ATL @ CIN: Blake Dunn vs Grant Holmes — 51.6% (fair odds -107)**\n>  Holmes 51.6% ball rate, Dunn 25.0% swing tendency\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **NYY @ OAK: Shea Langeliers vs Carlos Rodón — 21.1% (fair odds +373)**\n>  Langeliers 21.1% in-play projection vs Rodón (92.7 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups confirmed before publish. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### ATL @ CIN — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Chris Paddack vs Ronald Acuña Jr.**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 19.7%** (fair odds +407)\n\n  * Chris Paddack: Zone 77.8%, Ball 22.2%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.4 mph\n  * Ronald Acuña Jr.: Swing 47.3%, In Play 19.7%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Grant Holmes vs Blake Dunn**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 51.6%** (fair odds -107)\n\n  * Grant Holmes: Zone 48.4%, Ball 51.6%\n  * Blake Dunn: Swing 25.0%, In Play 3.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIN @ PIT — 6:45 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Taj Bradley vs Spencer Horwitz**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 52.8%** (fair odds -112)\n\n  * Taj Bradley: Zone 47.2%, Ball 52.8%\n  * Spencer Horwitz: Swing 20.0%, In Play 2.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SD @ WSH — 6:45 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Lucas Giolito vs James Wood**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 14.5%** (fair odds +592)\n\n  * Lucas Giolito: Zone 67.9%, Ball 32.1%\n  * James Wood: Swing 34.8%, In Play 14.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TOR @ BAL — 7:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Trevor Rogers vs George Springer**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 25.0%** (fair odds +300)\n\n  * Trevor Rogers: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.6 mph\n  * George Springer: Swing 31.6%, In Play 25.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### LAA @ TB — 7:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Nick Martinez vs Zach Neto**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 17.6%** (fair odds +468)\n\n  * Nick Martinez: Zone 69.4%, Ball 30.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.3 mph\n  * Zach Neto: Swing 52.4%, In Play 17.6%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Walbert Ureña vs Chandler Simpson**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 85.7%** (fair odds -599)\n\n  * Walbert Ureña: Zone 14.3%, Ball 85.7%\n  * Chandler Simpson: Swing 17.3%, In Play 2.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CHC @ STL — 7:15 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Andre Pallante vs Pete Crow-Armstrong**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 48.8%** (fair odds +105)\n\n  * Andre Pallante: Zone 51.2%, Ball 48.8%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.0 mph\n  * Pete Crow-Armstrong: Swing 35.7%, In Play 4.3%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Shota Imanaga vs JJ Wetherholt**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 48.6%** (fair odds +106)\n\n  * Shota Imanaga: Zone 51.4%, Ball 48.6%\n  * JJ Wetherholt: Swing 33.3%, In Play 9.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### DET @ CWS — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Troy Melton vs Sam Antonacci**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 95.6%** (fair odds -2192)\n\n  * Troy Melton: Zone 100.0%, Ball 0.0%\n  * Sam Antonacci: Swing 27.8%, In Play 4.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### KC @ TEX — 8:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): MacKenzie Gore vs Maikel Garcia**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 15.2%** (fair odds +557)\n\n  * MacKenzie Gore: Zone 56.1%, Ball 43.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.1 mph\n  * Maikel Garcia: Swing 29.6%, In Play 15.2%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Stephen Kolek vs Joc Pederson**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 65.7%** (fair odds -191)\n\n  * Stephen Kolek: Zone 73.9%, Ball 26.1%\n  * Joc Pederson: Swing 23.5%, In Play 8.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIL @ HOU — 8:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Kai-Wei Teng vs Christian Yelich**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 63.6%** (fair odds -175)\n\n  * Kai-Wei Teng: Zone 63.6%, Ball 36.4%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.7 mph\n  * Christian Yelich: Swing 20.0%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### NYY @ OAK — 9:40 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Carlos Rodón vs Shea Langeliers**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 21.1%** (fair odds +373)\n\n  * Carlos Rodón: Zone 76.3%, Ball 23.7%\n  * Shea Langeliers: Swing 42.1%, In Play 21.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### ARI @ SEA — 10:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): George Kirby vs Ketel Marte**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 47.4%** (fair odds +111)\n\n  * George Kirby: Zone 52.6%, Ball 47.4%, 1st pitch Sinker 96.3 mph\n  * Ketel Marte: Swing 32.9%, In Play 12.1%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Zac Gallen vs J.P. Crawford**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Zac Gallen: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%\n  * J.P. Crawford: Swing 36.8%, In Play 9.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### PHI @ LAD — 10:15 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Zack Wheeler vs Shohei Ohtani**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 60.5%** (fair odds -153)\n\n  * Zack Wheeler: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%\n  * Shohei Ohtani: Swing 22.2%, In Play 9.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n**→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)**\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
  "title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Friday, May 29, 2026 | MLB Edge",
  "updatedAt": "2026-05-29T16:22:42.896Z"
}