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  "description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for May 27, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
  "path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-may-27-2026/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-05-27T12:38:08.000Z",
  "site": "https://edgely.bet",
  "tags": [
    "See full track record →",
    "Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
    "→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
  ],
  "textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Wednesday, May 27, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **May 26 Results:**\n>  Strike Picks: 4/5 | Ball Picks: 2/5 | In Play Picks: 1/10 (2 fouled)\n>\n> ❌ James Wood - In Play / ❌ Zach Neto - In Play / ❌ Kevin McGonigle - In Play / ❌ Ronald Acuña Jr. - In Play / ❌ Jarren Duran - Ball / ✅ George Springer - Strike / ✅ Carson Benge - Ball / ❌ Byron Buxton - In Play / ✅ Sam Antonacci - Strike / ❌ Trent Grisham - Ball / ✅ Maikel Garcia - Ball / ❌ JJ Wetherholt - In Play / ✅ Christian Yelich - Strike / ✅ Jeremy Peña - In Play / ✅ Joc Pederson - Strike / ❌ Carlos Cortes - Strike / ❌ Kyle Schwarber - In Play / ❌ Ketel Marte - In Play / ❌ Willy Adames - Ball / ❌ Shohei Ohtani - In Play\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch Strike Picks\n\n> **ARI @ SF: Willy Adames vs Michael Soroka — 58.4% (fair odds -140)**\n>  Soroka 66.7% zone, Adames swings 13.6% of the time\n\n### First Pitch Ball Picks\n\n> **HOU @ TEX: Joc Pederson vs Mike Burrows — 53.6% (fair odds -116)**\n>  Burrows 53.6% ball rate, Pederson 21.4% swing tendency\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **CHC @ PIT: Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Bubba Chandler — 28.9% (fair odds +246)**\n>  Crow-Armstrong 28.9% in-play projection vs Chandler (98.5 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups confirmed before publish. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### MIA @ TOR — 1:07 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Kevin Gausman vs Xavier Edwards**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 14.5%** (fair odds +588)\n\n  * Kevin Gausman: Zone 64.6%, Ball 35.4%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.7 mph\n  * Xavier Edwards: Swing 29.3%, In Play 14.5%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Eury Pérez vs George Springer**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 51.6%** (fair odds -107)\n\n  * Eury Pérez: Zone 48.4%, Ball 51.6%\n  * George Springer: Swing 33.3%, In Play 2.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### WSH @ CLE — 1:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Gavin Williams vs James Wood**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 17.8%** (fair odds +462)\n\n  * Gavin Williams: Zone 65.1%, Ball 34.9%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.8 mph\n  * James Wood: Swing 35.4%, In Play 17.8%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SEA @ OAK — 3:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Jeffrey Springs vs J.P. Crawford**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 51.2%** (fair odds -105)\n\n  * Jeffrey Springs: Zone 48.8%, Ball 51.2%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.0 mph\n  * J.P. Crawford: Swing 36.4%, In Play 15.7%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Logan Gilbert vs Carlos Cortes**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 53.8%** (fair odds -116)\n\n  * Logan Gilbert: Zone 46.2%, Ball 53.8%\n  * Carlos Cortes: Swing 22.2%, In Play 7.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### ARI @ SF — 3:45 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Trevor McDonald vs Ketel Marte**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 26.9%** (fair odds +271)\n\n  * Trevor McDonald: Zone 83.3%, Ball 16.7%, 1st pitch Sinker 89.9 mph\n  * Ketel Marte: Swing 32.5%, In Play 26.9%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Michael Soroka vs Willy Adames**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 58.4%** (fair odds -140)\n\n  * Michael Soroka: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%\n  * Willy Adames: Swing 13.6%, In Play 8.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### PHI @ SD — 4:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Walker Buehler vs Kyle Schwarber**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Walker Buehler: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.3 mph\n  * Kyle Schwarber: Swing 35.7%, In Play 11.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### LAA @ DET — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Casey Mize vs Zach Neto**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 14.7%** (fair odds +581)\n\n  * Casey Mize: Zone 68.4%, Ball 31.6%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.8 mph\n  * Zach Neto: Swing 52.8%, In Play 14.7%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): José Soriano vs Kevin McGonigle**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 47.6%** (fair odds +110)\n\n  * José Soriano: Zone 52.4%, Ball 47.6%\n  * Kevin McGonigle: Swing 31.8%, In Play 15.8%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CHC @ PIT — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Bubba Chandler vs Pete Crow-Armstrong**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 28.9%** (fair odds +246)\n\n  * Bubba Chandler: Zone 78.6%, Ball 21.4%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 98.5 mph\n  * Pete Crow-Armstrong: Swing 27.3%, In Play 28.9%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Jameson Taillon vs Spencer Horwitz**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 60.1%** (fair odds -150)\n\n  * Jameson Taillon: Zone 62.9%, Ball 37.1%\n  * Spencer Horwitz: Swing 21.2%, In Play 2.8%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### ATL @ BOS — 6:45 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Bryce Elder vs Jarren Duran**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 46.2%** (fair odds +116)\n\n  * Bryce Elder: Zone 53.8%, Ball 46.2%\n  * Jarren Duran: Swing 27.4%, In Play 8.8%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CIN @ NYM — 7:10 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Andrew Abbott vs Carson Benge**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 53.8%** (fair odds -116)\n\n  * Andrew Abbott: Zone 46.2%, Ball 53.8%\n  * Carson Benge: Swing 25.0%, In Play 2.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### NYY @ KC — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Noah Cameron vs Trent Grisham**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 51.5%** (fair odds -106)\n\n  * Noah Cameron: Zone 48.5%, Ball 51.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.7 mph\n  * Trent Grisham: Swing 16.9%, In Play 3.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIN @ CWS — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Davis Martin vs Byron Buxton**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 23.0%** (fair odds +335)\n\n  * Davis Martin: Zone 68.6%, Ball 31.4%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.6 mph\n  * Byron Buxton: Swing 54.4%, In Play 23.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Connor Prielipp vs Chase Meidroth**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 16.1%** (fair odds +520)\n\n  * Connor Prielipp: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%\n  * Chase Meidroth: Swing 32.5%, In Play 16.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### HOU @ TEX — 8:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Jacob deGrom vs Jeremy Peña**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 21.1%** (fair odds +374)\n\n  * Jacob deGrom: Zone 75.0%, Ball 25.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 97.1 mph\n  * Jeremy Peña: Swing 38.4%, In Play 21.1%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Mike Burrows vs Joc Pederson**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 53.6%** (fair odds -116)\n\n  * Mike Burrows: Zone 46.4%, Ball 53.6%\n  * Joc Pederson: Swing 21.4%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### COL @ LAD — 10:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Shohei Ohtani vs Jake McCarthy**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 48.0%** (fair odds +108)\n\n  * Shohei Ohtani: Zone 52.0%, Ball 48.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.8 mph\n  * Jake McCarthy: Swing 66.7%, In Play 6.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
  "title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Wednesday, May 27, 2026 | MLB Edge",
  "updatedAt": "2026-05-27T12:38:09.475Z"
}