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  "description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for May 26, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
  "path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-may-26-2026/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-05-26T18:33:58.000Z",
  "site": "https://edgely.bet",
  "tags": [
    "See full track record →",
    "Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
    "→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
  ],
  "textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Tuesday, May 26, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **May 25 Results:**\n>  Strike Picks: 3/3 | Ball Picks: 1/7 | In Play Picks: 2/9 (1 fouled)\n>\n> ❌ Pete Crow-Armstrong - Ball / ❌ Spencer Horwitz - Ball / ❌ Chandler Simpson - In Play / ❌ Taylor Ward - Ball / ✅ Byron Buxton - In Play / ✅ Sam Antonacci - Strike / ✅ JJ Wetherholt - Ball / ❌ Jackson Chourio - In Play / ✅ Trent Grisham - Strike / ❌ Maikel Garcia - In Play / ❌ Ketel Marte - In Play / ❌ James Wood - In Play / ❌ Trea Turner - Ball / ✅ Fernando Tatis Jr. - In Play / ❌ Jeremy Peña - In Play / ❌ Xavier Edwards - In Play / ❌ Jake McCarthy - Ball / ❌ J.P. Crawford - Ball / ✅ Carlos Cortes - Strike\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch Strike Picks\n\n> **HOU @ TEX: Joc Pederson vs Jason Alexander — 85.7% (fair odds -599)**\n>  Alexander 85.7% zone, Pederson swings 21.4% of the time\n\n### First Pitch Ball Picks\n\n> **NYY @ KC: Paul Goldschmidt vs Bailey Falter — 64.0% (fair odds -178)**\n>  Falter 64.0% ball rate, Goldschmidt 34.9% swing tendency\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **WSH @ CLE: James Wood vs Joey Cantillo — 19.2% (fair odds +422)**\n>  Wood 19.2% in-play projection vs Cantillo (90.4 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups confirmed before publish. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### WSH @ CLE — 6:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Joey Cantillo vs James Wood**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 19.2%** (fair odds +422)\n\n  * Joey Cantillo: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.4 mph\n  * James Wood: Swing 31.0%, In Play 19.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TB @ BAL — 6:35 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Griffin Jax vs Taylor Ward**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 64.6%** (fair odds -182)\n\n  * Griffin Jax: Zone 71.4%, Ball 28.6%\n  * Taylor Ward: Swing 24.2%, In Play 6.8%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### LAA @ DET — 6:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Keider Montero vs Zach Neto**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 15.7%** (fair odds +538)\n\n  * Keider Montero: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.1 mph\n  * Zach Neto: Swing 52.8%, In Play 15.7%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Jack Kochanowicz vs Colt Keith**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 65.6%** (fair odds -191)\n\n  * Jack Kochanowicz: Zone 75.0%, Ball 25.0%\n  * Colt Keith: Swing 11.9%, In Play 9.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### ATL @ BOS — 6:45 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Ranger Suarez vs Ronald Acuña Jr.**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 16.4%** (fair odds +509)\n\n  * Ranger Suarez: Zone 62.9%, Ball 37.1%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.7 mph\n  * Ronald Acuña Jr.: Swing 33.3%, In Play 16.4%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Spencer Strider vs Jarren Duran**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 48.1%** (fair odds +108)\n\n  * Spencer Strider: Zone 51.9%, Ball 48.1%\n  * Jarren Duran: Swing 27.4%, In Play 9.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIA @ TOR — 7:07 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Sandy Alcantara vs George Springer**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 61.0%** (fair odds -156)\n\n  * Sandy Alcantara: Zone 71.4%, Ball 28.6%\n  * George Springer: Swing 33.3%, In Play 10.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CIN @ NYM — 7:10 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Chase Burns vs Carson Benge**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Chase Burns: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%\n  * Carson Benge: Swing 25.0%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### STL @ MIL — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Kyle Harrison vs Masyn Winn**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 83.7%** (fair odds -512)\n\n  * Kyle Harrison: Zone 92.9%, Ball 7.1%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.2 mph\n  * Masyn Winn: Swing 25.0%, In Play 9.2%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Michael McGreevy vs Jackson Chourio**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 29.6%** (fair odds +237)\n\n  * Michael McGreevy: Zone 80.0%, Ball 20.0%\n  * Jackson Chourio: Swing 43.8%, In Play 29.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIN @ CWS — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Sean Burke vs Byron Buxton**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 18.2%** (fair odds +449)\n\n  * Sean Burke: Zone 64.3%, Ball 35.7%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.7 mph\n  * Byron Buxton: Swing 54.4%, In Play 18.2%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Joe Ryan vs Sam Antonacci**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 58.3%** (fair odds -140)\n\n  * Joe Ryan: Zone 70.0%, Ball 30.0%\n  * Sam Antonacci: Swing 31.2%, In Play 11.7%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### NYY @ KC — 7:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Bailey Falter vs Paul Goldschmidt**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 64.0%** (fair odds -178)\n\n  * Bailey Falter: Zone 36.0%, Ball 64.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.6 mph\n  * Paul Goldschmidt: Swing 34.9%, In Play 7.1%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Cam Schlittler vs Maikel Garcia**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Cam Schlittler: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%\n  * Maikel Garcia: Swing 28.9%, In Play 10.9%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### HOU @ TEX — 8:05 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Jack Leiter vs Jeremy Peña**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 14.7%** (fair odds +580)\n\n  * Jack Leiter: Zone 57.9%, Ball 42.1%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 95.9 mph\n  * Jeremy Peña: Swing 38.4%, In Play 14.7%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Jason Alexander vs Joc Pederson**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 85.7%** (fair odds -599)\n\n  * Jason Alexander: Zone 85.7%, Ball 14.3%\n  * Joc Pederson: Swing 21.4%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### PHI @ SD — 9:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Randy Vásquez vs Trea Turner**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 59.2%** (fair odds -145)\n\n  * Randy Vásquez: Zone 68.6%, Ball 31.4%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.7 mph\n  * Trea Turner: Swing 26.4%, In Play 9.4%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Aaron Nola vs Fernando Tatis Jr.**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 16.6%** (fair odds +501)\n\n  * Aaron Nola: Zone 63.0%, Ball 37.0%\n  * Fernando Tatis Jr.: Swing 38.3%, In Play 16.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SEA @ OAK — 9:40 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Emerson Hancock vs Carlos Cortes**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 60.0%** (fair odds -150)\n\n  * Emerson Hancock: Zone 72.0%, Ball 28.0%\n  * Carlos Cortes: Swing 22.2%, In Play 12.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### ARI @ SF — 9:45 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Tyler Mahle vs Ketel Marte**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 22.1%** (fair odds +353)\n\n  * Tyler Mahle: Zone 64.0%, Ball 36.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.2 mph\n  * Ketel Marte: Swing 32.5%, In Play 22.1%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Eduardo Rodriguez vs Willy Adames**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 48.7%** (fair odds +105)\n\n  * Eduardo Rodriguez: Zone 51.3%, Ball 48.7%\n  * Willy Adames: Swing 14.3%, In Play 5.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### COL @ LAD — 10:10 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Kyle Freeland vs Shohei Ohtani**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 19.6%** (fair odds +411)\n\n  * Kyle Freeland: Zone 68.4%, Ball 31.6%\n  * Shohei Ohtani: Swing 37.7%, In Play 19.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
  "title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Tuesday, May 26, 2026 | MLB Edge",
  "updatedAt": "2026-05-26T18:33:58.815Z"
}