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  "description": "Today's first pitch outcome picks for May 24, 2026 — top picks, full slate projections, and pitcher tendency data for every game.",
  "path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-may-24-2026/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-05-24T14:44:12.000Z",
  "site": "https://edgely.bet",
  "tags": [
    "See full track record →",
    "Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →",
    "→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)"
  ],
  "textContent": "# First Pitch Outcome Picks: Sunday, May 24, 2026\n\n* * *\n\n> **May 23 Results:**\n>  Strike Picks: 1/3 | Ball Picks: 3/6 | In Play Picks: 1/6 (1 fouled)\n>\n> ✅ JJ Wetherholt - Strike / ✅ JJ Bleday - Ball / ❌ Jeremy Peña - In Play / ❌ Pete Crow-Armstrong - Strike / ✅ J.P. Crawford - In Play / ❌ Jarren Duran - Ball / ❌ James Wood - Ball / ❌ JJ Wetherholt - Strike / ❌ JJ Bleday - Ball / ❌ Jackson Chourio - In Play / ❌ Fernando Tatis Jr. - In Play / ✅ Joc Pederson - Ball / ❌ Zach Neto - In Play / ✅ Jake McCarthy - Ball / ❌ Ketel Marte - In Play\n>\n> See full track record →\n\n* * *\n\n## Today's Top First Pitch Outcome Picks\n\nOur highest-conviction plays from today's 15-game slate. Best bets based on pitcher tendency, batter swing profile, and model projection.\n\n### First Pitch In Play Picks\n\n> **MIN @ BOS: Byron Buxton vs Sonny Gray — 23.1% (fair odds +333)**\n>  Buxton 23.1% in-play projection vs Gray (91.3 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n> **SEA @ KC: J.P. Crawford vs Seth Lugo — 17.8% (fair odds +462)**\n>  Crawford 17.8% in-play projection vs Lugo (89.3 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n> **TEX @ LAA: Zach Neto vs MacKenzie Gore — 19.2% (fair odds +421)**\n>  Neto 19.2% in-play projection vs Gore (94.4 mph 4-Seam Fastball)\n\n* * *\n\n> 📍 Lineups confirmed before publish. Always verify no late scratches before locking bets.\n\n> 🎯 **New to this market?** Read the First Pitch Outcome Betting Guide →\n\n* * *\n\n## Full Slate — First Pitch Outcome Projections\n\n### PIT @ TOR — 12:15 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Dylan Cease vs Oneil Cruz**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 55.8%** (fair odds -126)\n\n  * Dylan Cease: Zone 44.2%, Ball 55.8%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 94.9 mph\n  * Oneil Cruz: Swing 47.7%, In Play 6.4%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### DET @ BAL — 12:35 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Brandon Young vs Colt Keith**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 58.3%** (fair odds -140)\n\n  * Brandon Young: Zone 66.7%, Ball 33.3%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 93.6 mph\n  * Colt Keith: Swing 11.9%, In Play 8.4%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Framber Valdez vs Taylor Ward**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 63.6%** (fair odds -175)\n\n  * Framber Valdez: Zone 73.2%, Ball 26.8%\n  * Taylor Ward: Swing 37.5%, In Play 9.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### MIN @ BOS — 1:35 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Sonny Gray vs Byron Buxton**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 23.1%** (fair odds +333)\n\n  * Sonny Gray: Zone 77.5%, Ball 22.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 91.3 mph\n  * Byron Buxton: Swing 54.4%, In Play 23.1%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TB @ NYY — 1:35 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Ryan Weathers vs Yandy Díaz**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 15.0%** (fair odds +565)\n\n  * Ryan Weathers: Zone 71.2%, Ball 28.8%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 92.9 mph\n  * Yandy Díaz: Swing 23.7%, In Play 15.0%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Drew Rasmussen vs Trent Grisham**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 67.0%** (fair odds -203)\n\n  * Drew Rasmussen: Zone 72.5%, Ball 27.5%\n  * Trent Grisham: Swing 16.1%, In Play 5.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### STL @ CIN — 1:40 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Brady Singer vs JJ Wetherholt**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 60.8%** (fair odds -155)\n\n  * Brady Singer: Zone 69.0%, Ball 31.0%, 1st pitch Sinker 92.5 mph\n  * JJ Wetherholt: Swing 34.2%, In Play 8.2%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Matthew Liberatore vs Matt McLain**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 59.6%** (fair odds -148)\n\n  * Matthew Liberatore: Zone 74.4%, Ball 25.6%\n  * Matt McLain: Swing 50.0%, In Play 14.8%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### SEA @ KC — 2:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Seth Lugo vs J.P. Crawford**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 17.8%** (fair odds +462)\n\n  * Seth Lugo: Zone 80.6%, Ball 19.4%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 89.3 mph\n  * J.P. Crawford: Swing 37.0%, In Play 17.8%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Bryan Woo vs Maikel Garcia**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 14.3%** (fair odds +600)\n\n  * Bryan Woo: Zone 65.0%, Ball 35.0%\n  * Maikel Garcia: Swing 28.6%, In Play 14.3%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### LAD @ MIL — 2:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Brandon Sproat vs Shohei Ohtani**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 54.5%** (fair odds -120)\n\n  * Brandon Sproat: Zone 45.5%, Ball 54.5%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 96.1 mph\n  * Shohei Ohtani: Swing 22.0%, In Play 5.8%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Jackson Chourio**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 15.2%** (fair odds +556)\n\n  * Yoshinobu Yamamoto: Zone 68.2%, Ball 31.8%\n  * Jackson Chourio: Swing 46.5%, In Play 15.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### HOU @ CHC — 2:20 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Shota Imanaga vs Jeremy Peña**\nProjected: **First Pitch Ball — 50.0%** (fair odds -100)\n\n  * Shota Imanaga: Zone 50.0%, Ball 50.0%, 1st pitch 4-Seam Fastball 90.8 mph\n  * Jeremy Peña: Swing 40.0%, In Play 15.9%\n\n\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Peter Lambert vs Pete Crow-Armstrong**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 100.0%** (fair odds -9999)\n\n  * Peter Lambert: Zone 100.0%, Ball 0.0%\n  * Pete Crow-Armstrong: Swing 12.5%, In Play 0.0%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### CWS @ SF — 4:05 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Noah Schultz vs Willy Adames**\nProjected: **First Pitch Strike — 63.9%** (fair odds -177)\n\n  * Noah Schultz: Zone 71.4%, Ball 28.6%\n  * Willy Adames: Swing 16.0%, In Play 7.5%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### COL @ ARI — 4:10 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): Jose Quintana vs Ketel Marte**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 15.6%** (fair odds +541)\n\n  * Jose Quintana: Zone 57.6%, Ball 42.4%\n  * Ketel Marte: Swing 33.8%, In Play 15.6%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### WSH @ ATL — 4:10 PM ET\n\n**T1 (Top 1st): Martín Pérez vs James Wood**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 15.8%** (fair odds +531)\n\n  * Martín Pérez: Zone 68.8%, Ball 31.2%, 1st pitch Sinker 88.4 mph\n  * James Wood: Swing 32.1%, In Play 15.8%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n### TEX @ LAA — 7:20 PM ET\n\n**B1 (Bottom 1st): MacKenzie Gore vs Zach Neto**\nProjected: **First Pitch In Play — 19.2%** (fair odds +421)\n\n  * MacKenzie Gore: Zone 57.5%, Ball 42.5%\n  * Zach Neto: Swing 54.3%, In Play 19.2%\n\n\n\n* * *\n\n## Live First Inning Data\n\nFor real-time projections, community picks, NRFI/YRFI lines, and full pitch count breakdowns for every game today:\n\n→ edgely First Inning Hub (live, updates with lineups)\n\n* * *\n\n_edgely model. First pitch tendency data sourced from current-season pitch logs. Always gamble responsibly._",
  "title": "First Pitch Outcome Picks: Sunday, May 24, 2026 | MLB Edge",
  "updatedAt": "2026-05-24T14:44:12.576Z"
}