MLB Edge of the Day: Kyle Leahy OVER 3.5 K (May 16, 2026)

Here is Edgely's MLB Edge of the Day for Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our model scans every active sport each morning, re-checks against evening lines, and surfaces the single bet with the strongest statistical edge.

Today's Pick: Kyle Leahy OVER 3.5 K

• Matchup: STL vs KC
• Sport: MLB
• Market: player prop
• Odds: -140
• Confidence: High

Why we like it

Our projection has Kyle Leahy at 4.37 K, which is 0.9 K above the posted line of 3.5. This line has hit in 80% of the last 5 games, showing a consistent trend. The matchup (STL vs KC) sets up well for volume in this category. Overall, this rates as a high-confidence selection in our model.

Other plays we considered

The model also flagged these as edges worth watching today:

• YRFI: TOR @ DET -- TOR @ DET -- MLB -- High confidence
• Kyle Schwarber OVER 1.5 TB -- PHI vs PIT -- MLB -- +105 -- High confidence
• Drake Baldwin OVER 1.5 TB -- ATL vs BOS -- MLB -- -124 -- High confidence
• Benardo Sopaj ML -- Benardo Sopaj vs Timothy Cuamba -- UFC -- -148 -- High confidence
• Alice Ardelean ML -- Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana -- UFC -- -198 -- High confidence

Result

Grading in progress. Result will be posted after the game finals.

Browse the full Edge of the Day archive and track record. Always gamble responsibly.