MLB Edge of the Day: Drew Rasmussen OVER 4.5 K (May 11, 2026)

Here is Edgely's MLB Edge of the Day for Monday, May 11, 2026. Our model scans every active sport each morning, re-checks against evening lines, and surfaces the single bet with the strongest statistical edge.

Today's Pick: Drew Rasmussen OVER 4.5 K

• Matchup: TB vs TOR
• Sport: MLB
• Market: player prop
• Odds: -114
• Confidence: High

Why we like it

Our projection has Drew Rasmussen at 5.07 K, which is 0.6 K above the posted line of 4.5. This line has hit in 80% of the last 5 games, showing a consistent trend. The matchup (TB vs TOR) sets up well for volume in this category. Overall, this rates as a high-confidence selection in our model.

Other plays we considered

The model also flagged these as edges worth watching today:

• YRFI: LAA @ CLE -- LAA @ CLE -- MLB -- High confidence
• Leylah Fernandez ML vs Anna Blinkova -- Leylah Fernandez vs Anna Blinkova -- Tennis -- High confidence
• Duncan Robinson OVER 2.5 3PM -- DET vs CLE -- NBA -- -168 -- High confidence
• Donovan Mitchell OVER 4.5 REB -- CLE vs DET -- NBA -- +106 -- High confidence
• Oklahoma City Thunder -11.5 -- Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers -- NBA -- High confidence

Result

Grading in progress. Result will be posted after the game finals.

Browse the full Edge of the Day archive and track record. Always gamble responsibly.