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  "description": "Get the edge on the April 13th MLB slate with our data-driven first pitch analysis. We break down fair odds for Shohei Ohtani vs. David Peterson, Jose Altuve vs. George Kirby, and more. Discover the best value picks for balls, strikes, and in-play outcomes.",
  "path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-picks-today-best-bets-april-13/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-04-13T19:37:12.000Z",
  "site": "https://edgely.bet",
  "textContent": "# MLB Matchup Preview: Betting on First Pitch Outcomes\n\nHappy Monday, baseball fans! The MLB slate today offers some intriguing matchups, and we've got a lineup of first pitch betting plays that you won't want to miss. Let's dive into the analysis and see where you might find some value.\n\n## Astros @ Mariners\n\n  * **❌Jose Altuve** vs. George Kirby\n    * **Projected Outcome:** In Play (14.7% chance, fair odds +582)\n    * Kirby's zone control and Altuve's swing tendencies suggest a decent chance of a ball being put in play.\n  * **✅💰Brendan Donovan** vs. Mike Burrows\n    * **Projected Outcome:** Ball (54.5% chance, fair odds -120)\n    * Burrows is known for throwing first pitch balls, making this a solid pick.\n\n\n\n## D-backs @ Orioles\n\n  * **✅💰Ketel Marte** vs. Dean Kremer\n    * **Projected Outcome:** In Play (27.5% chance, fair odds +264)\n    * Kremer's high zone percentage and Marte's swing rate could lead to an early ball in play.\n\n\n\n## Cubs @ Phillies\n\n  * **✅💰Nico Hoerner** vs. Cristopher Sánchez\n    * **Projected Outcome:** Strike (57.9% chance, fair odds -138)\n    * Sánchez's control in the zone and Hoerner's low swing rate favor a strike on the first pitch.\n  * **❌Trea Turner** vs. Javier Assad\n    * **Projected Outcome:** Ball (50.0% chance, fair odds -100)\n    * Assad's tendency to throw balls on the first pitch makes this an even money play.\n\n\n\n## Angels @ Yankees\n\n  * **❌Zach Neto** vs. Will Warren\n    * **Projected Outcome:** In Play (19.6% chance, fair odds +409)\n    * Warren's knack for hitting the zone and Neto's aggressive swings could result in contact.\n\n\n\n## Marlins @ Braves\n\n  * **❌Jakob Marsee** vs. Grant Holmes\n    * **Projected Outcome:** Ball (50.0% chance, fair odds -100)\n    * Holmes delivers first pitch balls half the time, a pattern Marsee might capitalize on.\n  * **✅💰Ronald Acuña Jr.** vs. Eury Pérez\n    * **Projected Outcome:** Ball (52.2% chance, fair odds -109)\n    * Pérez’s first pitch stats make this a likely call for a ball.\n\n\n\n## Red Sox @ Twins\n\n  * **❌Byron Buxton** vs. Garrett Crochet\n    * **Projected Outcome:** In Play (23.8% chance, fair odds +320)\n    * With Crochet’s high zone percentage, Buxton's contact rate offers a decent play here.\n\n\n\n## Guardians @ Cardinals\n\n  * **✅💰Steven Kwan** vs. Matthew Liberatore\n    * **Projected Outcome:** Strike (70.4% chance, fair odds -238)\n    * Liberatore's ability to find the zone and Kwan's rare swings point to a strike.\n  * **❌JJ Wetherholt** vs. Gavin Williams\n    * **Projected Outcome:** In Play (20.5% chance, fair odds +387)\n    * Williams’ zone percentage aligns well with Wetherholt's contact potential.\n\n\n\n## Rangers @ Athletics\n\n  * **❌Lawrence Butler** vs. Nathan Eovaldi\n    * **Projected Outcome:** In Play (19.5% chance, fair odds +412)\n    * Eovaldi's zone accuracy and Butler's swing habits suggest a chance for early contact.\n\n\n\n## Mets @ Dodgers\n\n  * **✅💰Shohei Ohtani** vs. David Peterson\n    * **Projected Outcome:** Strike (57.8% chance, fair odds -137)\n    * Peterson's control and Ohtani’s selective swings make a strike a likely result.\n\n\n\n## Conclusion\n\nToday's MLB matchups offer a variety of first pitch betting opportunities. Whether you're looking for a ball, strike, or in play outcome, these projections provide insights that could help you make informed bets. Keep an eye on the pitchers' tendencies and the batters' approaches to maximize your chances of success. Enjoy the games and happy betting!",
  "title": "MLB First Pitch Picks Today: Best Bets (April 13th) | MLB EDGE",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-14T03:59:53.177Z"
}