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  "description": "Can you believe it?  It's finally baseball season!",
  "path": "/mlb/mlb-first-pitch-picks-march-25/",
  "publishedAt": "2026-03-25T21:16:44.000Z",
  "site": "https://edgely.bet",
  "textContent": "## MLB Opening Night Matchup Preview: Yankees vs. Giants\n\nAlright, baseball fans, MLB is back, and we're diving into one of our favorite betting markets: **first pitch outcomes**. This is the ultimate quick sweat, and we've got some insights ready for you.\n\n### First Pitch Insights\n\nFrom the 2025 season, we learned some interesting trends about first pitches:\n\n  * **51%** of all first pitches were strikes\n  * **37.1%** were balls\n  * **11.9%** were put in play\n\n\n\nEarly in the season, nearly 15% of leadoff batters put the ball in play, showing an aggressive style that paid off for us last year. We're looking to capitalize on similar opportunities this season.\n\n### Top of the 1st: Yankees vs. Giants\n\n#### Pitcher: **Logan Webb**\n\n  * Likely to face **Trent Grisham** (pending Yankees' lineup confirmation)\n  * Our model rates this as \"no play\"\n    * Grisham isn't aggressive on first pitches\n    * Webb's pitching was too erratic last year for a confident prediction\n\n\n\n**Projection:**\n\n  * **56.6%** chance of a strike\n  * **41.3%** chance of a ball\n  * **2.1%** chance of being put in play\n\n\n\n### Bottom of the 1st: Giants vs. Yankees\n\n#### Pitcher: **Max Fried**\n\n  * Facing **Luis Arraez** to start\n  * Fried is known for filling the zone early, throwing **73%** in the zone last season\n    * Against lefties, he increased to **83.3%**\n\n\n\n**Luis Arraez's Approach:**\n\n  * Swung at **14.6%** across the season, but **32.6%** against lefties\n  * Put the ball in play **20%** against left-handed pitching\n\n\n\n**Betting Angle:**\n\n  * **Fair value** for Arraez to put the ball in play: **+950**\n  * Any other outcome: **+1036**\n  * Avoid bets under these values to ensure you're getting a good deal\n\n\n\n### Final Thoughts\n\nBaseball's return is thrilling, and we're ready for that first pitch excitement. As always, stay sharp and look for those edges. And to wrap up, here's a spirited \"Let's go O's\" for good measure.\n\nEnjoy the game and happy betting!",
  "title": "MLB First Pitch Picks Today: Best Bets (March 25) | MLB EDGE",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-30T18:24:01.000Z"
}