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  "path": "/articles/d41586-026-01688-1",
  "publishedAt": "2026-06-01T20:15:13.995Z",
  "site": "https://www.nature.com",
  "tags": [
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  "textContent": "Nature, Published online: 01 June 2026; doi:10.1038/d41586-026-01688-1\n\nOnline prediction markets are taking bets on everything from climate change to quantum computing. But researchers question their accuracy.",
  "title": "Can Polymarket predict the progress of science, or are subject-experts better?",
  "updatedAt": "2026-06-01T00:00:00.000Z"
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